Racing News Blog

22/11

This week we turn our attentions to the big Grade 1 at Haydock on Saturday 25th of November. This is the first of the triple crown races this season. The Jockey club have announced they will award One million pounds if any runner can win all three. The Betfair Chase at Haydock, The 32 Red King George at Kempton Park and the Timico Cheltenham Gold Cup.

The seven figure sum would be split between connections, with 65% going to the winning owners, 15% to the trainer, 10% to stable staff at the winning yard and 10% to the jockey, split a third per race if different jockeys ride the horse.

 

15:00 Haydock 25 Nov 2017

Betfair Chase (Grade 1) (The Lancashire Chase) (Class 1) (5YO plus)          3M 1F 125Y 

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                   Bristol de mai winning at Wetherby in the Charlie Hall Chase 

 

With the news breaking that current Gold cup champion Sizing John will miss the Betfair Chase at the weekend due to the ground it brings the odds in on Bristol de mai to around evens. More rain is expected which will only work in Bristol’s favour and it leaves us with a rather unappealing field of six runners.
It is hard to tell if Bristol has progressed from his win at Wetherby. Things went his way that day with Coneygree being pulled up and Cue Card falling. He then got the run of the race and fair play to him with Daryl Jacob steering him home to victory.I can see Jacob making the running here and aiming to make all the running dictating the pace throughout. He has run here twice before romping home by several lengths on both occasions on Soft and heavy ground. He will relish more rain especially in this field.
Question marks surround Cue Card after his fall. Some argue he should be retired and others say that is rubbish and he still has the ability as a high class chaser. He fell in the Gold cup back in March and fell last time out around the flatter track at Wetherby. His trainer Colin Tizzard has decided to drop long term retained jockey Paddy Brennan for the young and enthusiastic Harry Cobden to freshen things up. Cue card did produce a poor performance first time out last season in the same race and then turned things on in this race to beat Coneygree convincingly and pick up his third win in four attempts of this race so write him off at your peril.
Outlanders career has only ever had him travel over the Irish sea to Cheltenham so far losing on all three attempts. So this is a new experience for him. He picked up a win last time out at Down Royal to get back to winning ways after a poor year taking advantage of Sizing John’s stable mate Our Duke failing to turn up. Gordon Elliott is yet to declare who will be jockey but it might be worth a note that his two wins since switching stables in 2016 have come with the young and progressive Jack Kennedy on board.Tea for two best win came back in April at Aintree beating Bristol de mai (5th) and Cue Card ( runner up)  he was never in the race last time out on seasonal first last month again at Aintree finishing 9th.  Lizzy Kelly takes the mount again and will have to produce the same level of performance as in April to go close.Traffic Fluide finish 4th in that race at Aintree last month but has never won outside of novice company so would have to produce a career best to win here

Shantou Flyer was last to finish in the Charlie Hall last time out showing very little and this is probably a step too far.

In summary it would need to be an Outlander or Tea for two well on top of their game to put one past the main two in the betting. I think there is a good chance Daryl Jacob will make the running on the favourite Bristol de mai and I can see him making a very bold bid to make all.

Lets hope the ageing Cue Card can stay on his feet and give Bristol a race. Whoever does win this will find it a tough task completing the treble when the other big guns come out to play.