Racing News Blog

24/12

The most successful King George chase winner of five races – Kauto Star

So this will be my last blog post of the year and what a cracker it has been. Six months in and we have over 100 members in the HFP community working hard using safe practices in play with a systematic approach to the markets. In the new year I aim to deliver some webinars for members which will go into detail about the shape of markets, how they move and how to get the best out of the markets in running.

Before that we still have plenty of racing particularly from Boxing day through to New years day. Both Boxing day and New years day will be hectic especially if you are attempting to trade with a hangover! The racing will come thick and fast and I will be advising members to pick their battles and not get into over trading.

15:05 Kempton 26 Dec 2017

32Red King George VI Chase (Grade 1) (Class 1) (4YO plus)    3M

Boxing day has one of the biggest jump races in the calendar. The King George VI Chase is the second most prestigious chase in England with the Cheltenham Gold Cup the biggest of them all. The King George is a 3 mile Grade 1 chase around Kempton park. Paul Nicholls is the leading trainer with 9 wins in the race but does not have an entry this year. He trained the legend that is Kauto Star who is the most successful horse in the race with Ruby Walsh on top on all five victories.

So many great horses have won this race including Desert Orchid four times, Best Mate and in recent years along with Kauto Star, Long Run, Silviniaco Conti ( twice) and Cue Card.

                  Thistlecrack jumping to victory in last years King George Chase

Thistlecrack is back to defend his crown this year and there are so many question marks surrounding him. He came back from injury with a run back over hurdles and looked nothing like his former self. Colin Tizzard has won this race the last two years and did not sound confident of his chances after his run out at Newbury over hurdles. Since then Joe Tizzardhas come out and said they have worked him well over fences since. If he can get back to where he left off over fences at Cheltenham losing to the late Many Clouds by a head he should be in the mix but it is really a big if. This years field also looks a much stronger field on paper and it can be hard to come back to the top level after tendon injuries.

                      Bristol de Mai jumping with Daryl Jacob on board

Bristol de Mai has been very progressive this season winning both chases, the second he took the field apart with a 57 length win at Haydock beating the ageing Cue Card and loved it in the heavy ground. This horse needs rain and lots of it, the softer the ground the better his chances and this will be a much stiffer test than he has had so far. Nigel Twiston – Davies has been winning the big races this season and he is still in with the chance of the big million pound treble with Bristol winning the Betfair chase. It will be a tall order for him to win this and the Cheltenham Gold cup though because he will need the weather gods on his side and to show huge progress. This is a big test for his progressive young six year old relying on the weather to turn.

                              Fox Norton steps up in trip on Boxing day

 Fox Norton is arguably Colin Tizzard’s better chance of making it a hattrick of wins in this race. This animal is a dual Grade 1 winner unexposed at the trip the longest he has gone is 2 mile 3 winning around Aintree in the Melling Chase in April. So the question is will he stay?  He won comfortably around Cheltenham in November and then put in a good shift around Sandown to be beaten by the progressive Politologue last time out in the Tingle Creek. I think he could possibly go this trip and be in the mix come the business end of the race.

                            Whisper aims to take his stablemate on again

Nicky Henderson completes the main chances in this race firstly with Whisper who ran so well carrying a penalty in the Ladbrokes Trophy at Newbury, he is possibly a threat if he produces a similar performance but he has a jockey change here and as much as Aidan Coleman is a good jockey Davey Russell gets on really well with this animal so would prefer him in the saddle.

His stable mate Might Bite is the favourite in the race and it is no shock really. Whilst the rest of the field have a negative around them all I don’t see one with Might Bite. If you wanted to find a negative I would say its only his second run outside of novice company and he has his quirks. The way he nearly threw away the race in the RSA at the festival last season showed his quirks on the big stage. He looked like he is maturing with a good round of jumping on seasonal first at Sandown and has been schooling behind other runners in preparation for this race so he does not need to lead in the early part.

  Might Bite RSA winner at the festival is the one to beat in this years King George

I expect Bristol de Mai to make the running with Thistlecrack and Might Bite running in touch. Whisper and Fox Norton are likely to run in touch of them with the rest of the field or held up. We might get some mileage from Bristol in a trading perspective out in front early but a lot will depend on the weather the more rain the better his chances. I will expect Might Bite to take him on at some point and he is the clear one to beat. If in a trade I will have one eye on the rest mentioned particulalry Whisper and Fox Norton.

Whoever wins this it looks a better race than last year on paper. Hopefully we are in for a treat and possibly we could see the future Gold cup winner.

Please check out my Trading watch list on Boxing day they will all be posted for free for the day. It is the season of goodwill after all.

Merry Christmas to all members of Hunting for Profit and blog followers, we have exciting days ahead.